BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Mount Ayr

Class: 2A Class Rank: 118 Conference: (8-10) Overall: (10-11) Overall Strength =   36.67

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/04/2003 Home    W    54.17  70   28   1A  148 ( 4-17) Murray                 19.23     22.77                      
  2 12/06/2003 Home    L    19.93  42   61   3A   63 ( 2-18) Osceola Clarke        -15.02     -3.98                      
  3 12/12/2003 Home    L *  22.00  51   94   2A   33 (19- 4) Bedford               -12.95 *  -30.05                      
  4 12/16/2003 Away    L *  39.24  48   84   2A    5 (23- 2) Nodaway Valley          4.29 *  -40.29                      
  5 12/19/2003 Away    L *  35.44  57   66   2A  113 ( 6-14) Truro Interstate-35     0.50     -9.50                      
  6 01/06/2004 Away    L *  16.55  37   81   2A   54 (19- 4) Corydon Wayne         -18.39    -25.61                      
  7 01/08/2004 Away    W *  34.19  55   50   1A  123 ( 4-17) Afton East Union       -0.75      5.75                      
  8 01/09/2004 Home    W *  47.26  68   63   2A  105 ( 9-13) Corning                12.31     -7.31                      
  9 01/13/2004 Home    W *  34.36  63   55   1A  130 ( 4-19) Lenox                  -0.58      8.58                      
 10 01/16/2004 Away    W *  43.55  73   59   2A  127 ( 4-18) Leon Central Decatur    8.60      5.40                      
 11 01/20/2004 Home    W *  32.27  59   52   1A  123 ( 4-17) Afton East Union       -2.67      9.67                      
 12 01/23/2004 Home    L *  44.63  63   75   2A   54 (19- 4) Corydon Wayne           9.69    -21.69                      
 13 01/27/2004 Away    L *  38.92  33   63   2A   33 (19- 4) Bedford                 3.97 *  -33.97                      
 14 01/29/2004 Home    W    24.85  75   71   1A  139 ( 3-11) Clarinda Academy      -10.09     14.09  rescheduled from 01/29/04
 15 01/30/2004 Away    L *  29.51  56   71   1A   83 (12-12) Southeast Warren       -5.44     -9.56                      
 16 02/03/2004 Home    L *  10.32  36   97   2A    5 (23- 2) Nodaway Valley        -24.63 *  -36.37                      
 17 02/10/2004 Away    W *  49.28  79   60   1A  130 ( 4-19) Lenox                  14.34      4.66                      
 18 02/12/2004 Away    W *  49.18  42   39   2A  105 ( 9-13) Corning                14.23    -11.23                      
 19 02/13/2004 Home    L *  41.06  70   72   1A   81 (11-11) Martensdale M-SM        6.12     -8.12                      
 20 02/20/2004 Home    W *  46.63  69   48   2A  127 ( 4-18) Leon Central Decatur   11.68      9.32                      
 21 02/23/2004 Home    L *  20.52  48   68   2A  113 ( 6-14) Truro Interstate-35   -14.42     -5.58                      
      Averages              34.95  56.9 64.6

Best game:   54.17 = 42 point win over Murray
Worst game:  10.32 = 61 point loss to Greenfield Nodaway Valley
Team stdev:  12.23